Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037295 0.040233 0.043315 0.046793 0.050615 0.054692 0.059380
2025-05-11 0.032403 0.036530 0.041096 0.046541 0.052883 0.060069 0.068868
2025-05-18 0.029070 0.033860 0.039374 0.046232 0.054588 0.064513 0.077300
2025-05-25 0.026696 0.031919 0.038128 0.046117 0.056225 0.068716 0.085524
2025-06-01 0.024549 0.029991 0.036633 0.045429 0.056915 0.071600 0.092119
2025-06-08 0.022678 0.028219 0.035139 0.044533 0.057144 0.073759 0.097773
2025-06-15 0.021267 0.026908 0.034099 0.044086 0.057840 0.076478 0.104285
2025-06-22 0.020057 0.025762 0.033171 0.043680 0.058496 0.079103 0.110783
2025-06-29 0.018830 0.024508 0.032007 0.042841 0.058441 0.080656 0.115753
2025-07-06 0.018199 0.024012 0.031823 0.043327 0.060263 0.084990 0.125208
2025-07-13 0.017465 0.023329 0.031329 0.043319 0.061332 0.088237 0.133198
2025-07-20 0.016964 0.022936 0.031210 0.043830 0.063177 0.092754 0.143564
2025-07-27 0.016255 0.022218 0.030597 0.043580 0.063857 0.095526 0.151347
2025-08-03 0.015624 0.021582 0.030066 0.043416 0.064648 0.098512 0.159743
2025-08-10 0.015013 0.020943 0.029494 0.043147 0.065238 0.101185 0.167797
2025-08-17 0.014492 0.020412 0.029052 0.043046 0.066075 0.104304 0.176903
2025-08-24 0.013871 0.019702 0.028305 0.042413 0.065984 0.105812 0.183137
2025-08-31 0.013244 0.018956 0.027468 0.041589 0.065510 0.106604 0.188050
2025-09-07 0.012757 0.018405 0.026906 0.041177 0.065706 0.108575 0.195405
2025-09-14 0.012310 0.017895 0.026384 0.040803 0.065935 0.110603 0.203037
2025-09-21 0.011799 0.017266 0.025649 0.040030 0.065410 0.111198 0.207775
2025-09-28 0.011587 0.017098 0.025637 0.040478 0.067080 0.115996 0.221724
2025-10-05 0.011289 0.016780 0.025371 0.040471 0.067919 0.119257 0.232704